SVM

Before moving forward with the to-do list, let’s throw a Random Forest to it.

SVM

For many reasons, Random Forest is usually a very good baseline model. In this particular case I started with the polynomial OLS as baseline model, just because it was so evident from the correlations that the relationship between temperature and consumption follows a polynomial shape. But let’s go back to a beloved RF.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241231T233021Z-46f4f

<vetiver.vetiver_model.VetiverModel at 0x7f668e907100>

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Plot

Table

	Single Split		CV
	train	test	test	train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error	2.628635	1.919560	2.803961	2.864905
MSE - Mean Squared Error	15.644541	14.381188	13.507814	18.609992
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error	3.955318	3.792254	3.476072	4.293810
R2 - Coefficient of Determination	0.832046	0.837988	-6.686584	0.809807
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error	0.241741	0.210812	0.617343	0.221664
EVS - Explained Variance Score	0.840991	0.838140	-3.104391	0.828457
MeAE - Median Absolute Error	1.790644	1.310202	2.485213	1.983878
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score	0.628496	0.705249	-1.356569	0.592179
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss	1.314317	0.959780	1.401981	1.432453

Scatter plot matrix

Test

Train

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

• white noise or is there a pattern?
• heteroscedasticity?
• non-linearity?

Test

Train

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

• Are residuals normally distributed?

Test

Train

Test

Train

Leverage

Test

Train

Scale-Location plot

Test

Train

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Test

Train

Residuals vs Time

Test

Train

Well, not that bad, but it is overfitting quite a lot.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241231T233026Z-9896e

{'vars__columns': ['tt_tu_mean', 'td_mean', 'vp_std_mean', 'tf_std_mean']}

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Plot

Table

	Single Split		CV
	train	test	test	train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error	2.359735	2.066934	2.146522	2.514794
MSE - Mean Squared Error	15.006405	16.281826	7.578149	17.173888
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error	3.873810	4.035074	2.691213	4.142608
R2 - Coefficient of Determination	0.838897	0.816576	-2.483300	0.824085
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error	0.185087	0.186888	0.435611	0.180383
EVS - Explained Variance Score	0.842242	0.840243	-1.248491	0.827721
MeAE - Median Absolute Error	1.506615	1.389224	1.770969	1.520416
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score	0.666500	0.682619	-0.703410	0.641805
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss	1.179868	1.033467	1.073261	1.257397

Scatter plot matrix

Test

Train

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

• white noise or is there a pattern?
• heteroscedasticity?
• non-linearity?

Test

Train

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

• Are residuals normally distributed?

Test

Train

Test

Train

Leverage

Test

Train

Scale-Location plot

Test

Train

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Test

Train

Residuals vs Time

Test

Train

TODOs